Shock to the system : coups, elections, and war on the road to democratization /

How violent events and autocratic parties trigger democratic changeHow do democracies emerge? Shock to the System presents a novel theory of democratization that focuses on how events like coups, wars, and elections disrupt autocratic regimes and trigger democratic change. Employing the broadest qua...

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Chi tiết về thư mục
Tác giả chính: Miller, Michael Keith, 1981- (Tác giả)
Định dạng: Licensed eBooks
Ngôn ngữ:Tiếng Anh
Được phát hành: Princeton, New Jersey : Princeton University Press [2021]
Truy cập trực tuyến:https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.2307/j.ctv1f70kz3
Mục lục:
  • Cover
  • Contents
  • Preface and Acknowledgments
  • Chapter 1. Introduction
  • Overview of the Book's Theory
  • Contributions to Literature and Implications
  • Methodology and Inference
  • Plan of the Book
  • Chapter 2. Two Paths to Democratization
  • Defining Democracy
  • Defining the Paths
  • Theory: No Disruption, No Democracy
  • A Two-Step Theory: Disruption and Democratization
  • Chapter 3. Domestic Shocks
  • Coups
  • Civil Wars
  • Assassinations
  • Chapter 4. International Shocks
  • Defeat in Foreign War
  • Withdrawal of an Autocratic Hegemon
  • Chapter 5. Electoral Continuity
  • Background
  • Electoral Continuity Cases
  • Path to Democratization
  • Electoral Confidence and Democratization
  • Chapter 6. Other Autocracies
  • Outlier Transitions
  • Negative Cases: Patterns of Non-Democratization
  • Chapter 7. Direct Effects of the Paths
  • Predictions
  • Empirical Setup
  • Empirical Results
  • Chapter 8. Mediated Effects of the Paths
  • Predictions
  • Mediation, Moderation, and Democratization
  • The Paths, Pro-Democratic Activity, and Democratization
  • Structural Factors and Democratization: A New Empirical Framework
  • The Paths' Predictive Power
  • Chapter 9. The Paths and Democratic Survival
  • Legacies of Transition: Democratic Survival and Quality
  • Empirical Results
  • Chapter 10. Conclusion
  • Theoretical Contributions
  • Implications
  • The Future of Democracy
  • Appendix
  • List of Democratic Transitions by Paths
  • Coding Details
  • Case Narratives
  • Citations
  • Index